Atalanta can create repeated home chances through Éderson and its wing supply. Frosinone can meet the first pass aggressively and find Raimondo from a high recovery. Hoffenheim press high and turn recoveries into quick service for Kramarić and Prass. Leverkusen can pass through the first wave and reach Maza with Schick ahead of him.
Frosinone's Masini and Calò were active against Sassuolo, and Raimondo finished several moves there, although errors helped that score. Atalanta's four listed central defenders missed Ajax and Obrić's aerial cover was tested in that match; Frosinone's Grillitsch also missed its latest game. Atalanta should still feed its wide forwards at home, but the first turnover and Frosinone's second contact can keep the margin tight. That's why I'm siding with Frosinone for the protected margin.
Hoffenheim's Lyon win showed a dangerous press and a second-contact set-piece goal. Leverkusen's Fernández helped win duels against Freiburg, and the Maza-Schick exchange produced a comeback against that resistance. Hoffenheim's Hajdari, De Cat and Wimmer missed Lyon, while Leverkusen rotated five starters in Crete and kept the Maza-Schick link available. I expect Hoffenheim to press in waves and Leverkusen to create once García or Fernández finds the next receiver. That's why I'm siding with Bayer Leverkusen to come through the contest.
