This cup tie turns on the first pass out of pressure and the second attack after a turnover. Sunderland can press high and reach a wide runner quickly. Brentford have outlets that can move the ball beyond that press and come back with fresh receivers. The decisive spell may arrive after the first equaliser rather than the first goal.
Sunderland's September meeting showed a real pressure and comeback route, but several of the roles behind that display are expected to change. Brobbey played limited return minutes against Leeds, and the projected cup side also changes its midfield and defensive support. Brentford have already rebuilt an attack through Damsgaard and Anthony at Hull, with Wilson and Schade offering further targets against a higher line. I’m siding with Brentford to take the regulation win.
