Leipzig at home is a high-output side, and Elversberg are an open team that gives up a lot of shots away from home.
Leipzig have scored 28 and conceded 3 in nine home games, including a 6-0 over Frankfurt with huge chance quality. Elversberg concede around 18 shots per away game and are missing a confirmed midfielder with several more doubtful, which weakens their ball progression and pressing. The two heavy Leipzig defeats came away against elite sides, so they say little about this level.
The game should see Leipzig take territory and shots early, with Elversberg hoping for a set piece or counter. That's why I'm siding with Leipzig to win by a clear margin.
