Paderborn can press Frankfurt's first pass and still settle into a compact back line. Frankfurt can escape into Uzun or a wide receiver, then recycle a blocked shot or restart into another box contact. The clean final touch after that second wave is the central contest.
Paderborn's Tigges and Marino can take the first direct ball, with Vidović arriving for the next pass. Their recent territory has produced relatively few clean finishes, while Frankfurt have found scoring contacts from different roles after a save or clearance. Götze is expected to miss out after a brief appearance in Frankfurt's last match; Koch played the full game but is a fitness doubt. Uzun and Chaïbi supplied the central and restart routes in that last outing, so Frankfurt's attacking chain has current evidence. That's why I'm siding with Frankfurt to find the extra winning contact.
