Orlando and Washington both have creators who can reach the paint, but their guard rotations have changed. Orlando still has Wagner and Bane to make shots and passes. Washington can start through Young, move the ball through George, and finish through Davis. The late possessions should depend on whether Orlando can keep that passing chain intact and whether Washington ends stops with a rebound.
Orlando's Toronto win involved Black's ten assists alongside Wagner and Bane, while its Boston game showed how turnovers can interrupt the next attack. Washington has a separate Davis foul-line and interior route, with Ayton able to take more center minutes. Orlando's Wagner and Bane each played 39 minutes in the previous game, while Washington enters with a longer recovery.
Black played 32 minutes in Orlando's latest game but is now officially out. Sarr played 28 minutes in Washington's latest game and is also out, so Davis and Ayton carry more of the rim and rebounding work. I expect Young and George to keep producing a second pass while Orlando asks more of Richardson and Bane when Wagner sits. That's why I'm siding with Washington to finish ahead.
