Liverpool and Arsenal both have ways to press for an early recovery and turn it into a box entry. Arsenal's midfield and dead-ball delivery should give Liverpool's back line a full test. Liverpool's current wide-to-central connection has also produced a clean finish, and the midfield duel should set the rhythm of this match.
Liverpool can turn a second-ball win into Wirtz or Barcola facing Arsenal's back line, with Isak waiting for the final pass. Barcola and Isak have already combined for a goal, and Wirtz returned for minutes against Chelsea. Arsenal can escape through Rice and Ødegaard and keep supplying corners, but Saka and Saliba missed the latest cup match and remain out; Madueke's start is still unconfirmed. Liverpool's missing wing backs change how they provide width, so the recent wide forwards and midfield connection matter more here. I expect that connection to create the clearer final contact in a close match. That's why I'm siding with Liverpool.