Honduras already beat Jamaica in Kingston a week ago, and this time they're at home, where they're very hard to beat. Jamaica, on the other hand, show up short-handed: injured players have been sent back to their clubs and Bailey Cadamarteri is suspended. Honduras need a win to stay in the race, and they're playing a Jamaica side that their own coach calls depleted.
That first meeting wasn't a lucky smash-and-grab. Honduras had 15 shots to Jamaica's 12 and put seven on target to Jamaica's three. Local press expect coach José Francisco Molina to go back to that same starting eleven.
At home, Honduras have been tough over the last couple of years: six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last eight, with only four goals conceded.
Jamaica's coach Rudolph Speid didn't hide it. Several players were allowed to leave to treat injuries, Cadamarteri is out on yellow cards, and in his words the team is exhausted. Jamaica's strong away record came mostly against Grenada, Martinique, New Caledonia and El Salvador, with a fuller squad. This is a thinner group, playing three days after their last game, in front of a home crowd that needs nothing less than a win.
Honduras are without their captain Denil Maldonado at centre-back, which is the one real blow on their side. Even so, Jamaica's losses are bigger, and Honduras showed in the first meeting that they can create chances against this opponent.