Getafe's compact shape and direct balls will meet Sevilla's pressure on the first pass. The central recoveries and the next wide reception look likely to decide how often either side reaches a clear finish. Excelsior can press early and bypass pressure with a direct ball from Van Gassel. Twente's channel play and later box entries give that second match a different rhythm once the opening press fades.
Sevilla's Fofana and Agoumé can challenge Getafe's first distribution and feed Ejuke or Félix in the space outside the back three. Getafe have a direct answer through Satriano or Ünal, but Mario Martín is suspended, Mangala has only limited verified minutes since his return, and Mayoral played the full cup match. Fofana and Agoumé were rested in that cup fixture and are available in the current squad, although the starting group is not confirmed. I expect Sevilla's central regain to create repeat wide receptions, so I'm siding with Sevilla to finish with the stronger result.
Excelsior's Van Gassel-to-Yegoian ball is a genuine way around Twente's first press, and its home midfield can work to recover loose passes. Twente's Pröpper and Nijstad protected the box at AZ before Taha found Ørjasæter, and a later direct ball produced another distinct finish. Weidmann is suspended, but Van den Belt has already played meaningful minutes as the named midfield replacement; Drommel and the core defenders also played in the recent AZ match. Excelsior's shorter turnaround should make sustained pressing harder, so I'm siding with Twente to win after its wide players find space.
