Celta can release runners behind a high line, while Union can win the first central pass and turn it into a fast box reception. Both sides have back-three shapes, making the first clean handoff decisive. AZ can press Juventus's changing midfield and reach wide dribblers. Juventus can still bypass that pressure with a switch or a direct ball to its forwards.
Union's Zeneli, Patris and forward receivers give their pressure more than one finishing target. Celta took no shot on target at Rayo, though their Celtic restart response and Durán's runs show a real home attack. Celta's official squad excludes Starfelt and Borja Iglesias after both also missed Rayo; Union's Mac Allister, Biondic and Kricfalusi also missed their last match and remain out. Union should test Celta's first pass and keep a usable reply even if a wing-back release opens the scoring. That's why I'm siding with Union to win or draw.
AZ's Patati and Daal have received from Peer Koopmeiners and Kwakman, producing five shots on target against both Ajax and Twente. Juventus retain Kolo Muani, Woltemade and a strong defence, but their club list omits McKennie after his Napoli appearance, and Zhegrova's Napoli assist cannot transfer because he is outside the European squad. Spalletti says Sarr starts, Douglas Luiz needs rest and one central defender begins on the bench; AZ's Smit missed Ajax and is expected only as a substitute. AZ should gain press opportunities against that altered handoff and use Meerdink for the next contact. That's why I'm siding with AZ to win or draw.
