Frosinone bring retained wide creators against a Cagliari side changing both its defensive options and forward supply. Torino and Lecce have different attacking strengths, but both have recently allowed opponents to reach useful receiving positions. These matches turn on the relationship between the first forward pass, the runner receiving it and the defence recovering behind the ball.
Kvernadze and Ghedjemis can supply from either flank, with Schmid connecting and Calo returning the next pass. Birligea's involvement after replacing Raimondo against Torino included shots on target and chance creation. Cagliari's Winks and Maldini provide an exit from the first pressure, while Mendy and Trepy offer forward movement.
Cagliari now lose Fadera, Nzola and Obert, who contributed to their recent scoring sequences. Frosinone are without Raimondo, Grillitsch and Terzic, but the latest midfield and wide supply remain available, with replacement involvement already observed. I expect a contested opening before the visitors' width and repeated connections become more influential. That's why I'm siding with Frosinone.
Torino's recovery-to-forward route through Fitz-Jim can reach Vlasic, Adams and Simeone before Lecce settle. Lecce have recently conceded after losing build-up possession and after a full-back was beaten before a central delivery. At the other end, Gallo's crosses and Maleh's restarts give Stulic and the midfield runners routes against Torino's imperfect box protection.
Monteiro is a new absence for Lecce after playing against Genoa. Gaspar is available after suspension, while Coulibaly and Geubbels return as options with conditioning limits; Torino expect Fitz-Jim to play and retain width through players recovering from knocks. I expect recoveries, deliveries and renewed attacks after the opening goal to keep supplying chances. That's why I'm expecting goals in Torino against Lecce.
