Auxerre can advance through Danois and connect several runners around the box. Le Mans can press that first pass and send the ball wide toward Mafouta. The match should turn on which side collects the next ball after an initial clearance or shot.
Auxerre's last match showed Danois, Namaso, Faivre and Archer combining through the first and second contacts, with their replacement back three also playing full minutes. Le Mans have Bretelle's restart delivery and Mafouta's movement, but Bourabaa missed the last match and remains out, while Voyer left it injured and Larouci played before both were newly listed out. Auxerre's longer passing chain should produce repeated receptions around the changed visiting defence, even after a Le Mans press or goal. That's why I'm siding with Auxerre to win.
