Two matches where the home side is the shakier one at the back and the visitors are the steadier unit. Neither is a clear mismatch, so the visitors' edge is about solidity, not dominance.
Sunderland vs Leeds: Sunderland sit near the bottom with six scored and fourteen conceded in the league, and they are without Danso (suspended) and Ballard in central defence. They also played in Europe three days ago, while Leeds have had a full week. Leeds are the steadier side by chance numbers, though they draw a lot. That's why I'm with Leeds, with a level game covered.
Angers vs Lorient: Angers have conceded twenty in their last ten and allow about 6.7 shots on target a game, against 3.9 for Lorient. Angers create volume, with plenty of corners, but little of it is on target. Lorient are low-event and win narrowly, scoring on transitions. That's why I'm siding with Lorient, with a draw covered.
