Twente and Ajax can both reach the box through wide service, but their recent big scores came in altered game states. The middle of the pitch should decide whether an early chance becomes sustained pressure. Twente have shown a second attacking route after a regain, while Ajax have shown a sharp first delivery to Arokodare. This match turns on the next pass after the first goal.
Zerrouki and Weidmann can release Taha or Ørjasæter behind Ajax's wide defenders, as they did in the win at AZ. Twente's counter there ended with Ørjasæter's finish, and Drommel made five saves behind the established Pröpper and Nijstad pair. Unnerstall remains out, but Drommel already played the recent matches; Ajax have Bissouma available, while Brandt and Amrabat's roles remain recovery decisions. Ajax's early Arokodare header against AZ was followed by little second supply, whereas Twente found another clear attack late against that opponent. That's why I'm siding with Twente to take this match.
