Nagoya and Kyoto should trade second balls and deliveries from both flanks. Tosu and Toyama bring another midfield contest, where the first pass after a press can open the far side. In both matches, repeated supply and a clean final touch will shape how long each attack lasts.
Nagoya's Nakayama and Hara can keep sending the ball wide, while Kyoto's João Pedro and Arai can turn recoveries into service for Elias. Kyoto's key attackers had limited minutes or rest in Hanoi, and Elias recently finished twice against Shimizu. Asano and Saito were already absent from their teams' last matches, so the current roles matter more than fresh injury claims. Nagoya's supply and Kyoto's own completed attack point to a close contest; that's why I'm siding with Kyoto.
Tosu's press and Sakamoto's carries create entries, while Toyama can release Kunitake to the flank and find Takahashi at the far side. Tsuboi has also supplied a late finish, giving Toyama more than one receiver when the game stretches. The dated Toyama absences were already in place for its recent wins; Kunitake entered and Takahashi played in the last game. That secondary route through actual final contacts is why I'm siding with Toyama.