This match sets two very different scoring habits against each other. The home side plays fast and loose, trading baskets and living at the free-throw line, while the visitors prefer a slower half-court game and have rarely let a total run away from them.
Levanga Hokkaido score around 96 and concede about the same over their last ten, with steals feeding transition. Their biggest totals, like the shootout with Akita, came when the opponent also wanted to run and the threes were falling. NeoPhoenix are the opposite: about 85 scored and 81 conceded, quarters mostly in the low twenties, and their last three losses were all low-scoring road games. They have not reached 90 points since early October.
Levanga also come in with short rest after a road win two days ago, which points to a tighter rotation and heavier legs rather than a track meet. No lineup information was published for either side, so I am not leaning on any absence.
I expect Neo to hold the pace near its own range, with the game landing somewhere in the 160s to 170s. That's why I'm siding with the under: the visitors' scoring profile has been far steadier than the home side's, and the line has already been cut a little since it opened.
