Frankfurt's finishing and territorial pressure meet a Hamburg side that already found repeated access against them in the cup. That meeting contained genuine chances for the visitors as well as decisive home attacking actions. The rematch turns on the pass after a regain and the space around advancing wide defenders.
Frankfurt can combine into Burkardt, recycle deliveries and use Ebnoutalib's individual reception. Hamburg's response runs through Lokonga and Muheim toward Grønbaek and the wide outlets. Their cup attack produced six shots on target and ten attempts inside the box, showing that the available unit can reach this opponent.
Hamburg's continuing attacking absences were already missing from that match. Torunarigha is officially back in the squad, while Fernandes is expected to return in goal; neither is being treated as a confirmed starter. Grønbaek's recent start supplies a demonstrated connection rather than a hypothetical returning creator.
Frankfurt should take more territory, with Hamburg seeking to escape the next press and keep a forward receiver involved. The visitors' existing chance creation carries more weight than the cup score alone. That's why I'm siding with Hamburg to keep the contest close.