Derby's attacking route runs through early physical duels and balls into Morris. Norwich have answered recent pressure by recovering the ball and linking Kvistgaarden to runners around him. The first midfield contest should decide which attack gets clean service into the box.
Field's recovery began Norwich's winner against Watford, and Kvistgaarden supplied decisive lay-offs there before heading in a cross against Charlton. Derby's improvised back four lost its cover during Millwall's fast start, while Morris has reached chances without the same recent finishing. Ozoh left Derby's latest Millwall match early, and Eustace has described the defensive arrangement as improvised; Norwich's case rests on Field and Kvistgaarden's observed recent roles rather than possible returns. I expect Norwich's first recovery to find Kvistgaarden and the wide runners often enough to turn those box entries into the decisive finish. That's why I'm siding with Norwich.
