Deportivo and Osasuna can both create an opening from pressure, but their ability to follow it with another clean chance differs. Osasuna can press high and look for Budimir from the flanks. Deportivo can pass into Yeremay and Soriano between those lines and return to the box after the first attack is stopped. The later exchange should decide whether the home side's chance creation becomes a winning finish.
Deportivo produced quality box chances against Atlético and still found a late opening after Levante had answered them. Osasuna's early pressure at Sevilla faded, and its attack produced little sustained away supply after that spell. Oroz is officially out, while Moro is in the squad after playing in the cup; neither Moro's start nor Deportivo's lineup is confirmed. Budimir gives Osasuna a genuine aerial response, so Deportivo need their wide players to supply another finish and their defenders to end the last delivery. That's why I'm siding with Deportivo to win at home.
