Turkey and Belgium meet with a more complicated balance than their previous score suggests. Turkey created plenty of shots in that meeting, while Belgium made its chances count more cleanly. Armenia and Cyprus present a different contest between home ball recovery and the quality of the final shot. Both matches should turn on what happens after the first pass into the attacking third.
Güler repeatedly found openings against Belgium, and Turkey reached the box often enough to make a reply plausible. Belgium still have De Bruyne and Tielemans to drive a fast transition, but Lukaku, who finished the late move in their previous meeting, is out. Turkey's coach plans to use a centre-forward, with Ferdi ready to help carry the next pass wide. That's why I'm siding with Turkey to keep this match close.
Armenia can win second balls through Iwu and advance through Tiknizyan, yet its recent possession and corners have rarely turned into close finishes. Spertsyan, who supplied chances in the first meeting, is unavailable. Cyprus also miss Kakoullis, but Edwards and Loizou provided recent goal-bound outlets, and Malekkidis has already covered Pileas's absence. I expect Armenia to push for territory while Cyprus look for the sharper final connection. That's why I'm siding with Cyprus.
