Türkiye and Belgium both have ways to turn a midfield recovery into an immediate box entry. Their previous score concealed Turkish chances, so the next reception after a goal matters more than territory alone. Italy and France have a different contest: France can press and attack in waves, while Italy can escape down the right and arrive at the far side. In both matches, the second useful contact will shape the result.
Güler and Ferdi can give Türkiye an inside-to-wide first release under Yalçın, whose centre-forward outlet adds a direct target. Belgium's De Bruyne and Tielemans can launch Doku or Lukebakio into space, but Lukaku's close finishing role is missing. Türkiye reached the Belgian box repeatedly in the previous meeting despite the score, and can recycle a blocked effort into another delivery. That's why I'm siding with Türkiye to take a result from this match.
Italy's Bastoni and Scalvini can contest France's new central receiver, then Kayode and Sebastiano Esposito can escape on the right for a Pio Esposito or Scamacca box touch. Barella offers another delivery after a clearance. France still have Olise and Doué for quick attacks, but their central finishing group has changed since the previous meeting; Italy are also without Kean and can use their other receivers. Italy already held this French press while finding close chances, so I'm siding with Italy to take a result as well.
