Belarus have a clear wide route into the San Marino box. Their first meeting stayed level through the opening half before a burst of finishing changed the score. San Marino have since shown a route from midfield recovery into a goal. The key passages are the second ball after Belarus's delivery and San Marino's first forward outlet.
Pechenin's service and Kontsevoy's finishing remain Belarus's strongest links. San Marino can answer through Capicchioni carrying forward and Lazzari receiving near goal, as they did against Albania. Belarus are without Shumansky and Barkovsky after both played the last match, while San Marino must replace Cevoli and Giacopetti. I expect Belarus to control much of the ball, with San Marino still able to produce a reply after the first wave. That's why I'm siding with San Marino to keep the score close.
