Montenegro should have more of the ball and seek receivers around the edge of Latvia's defensive block. Latvia's route is to connect a front reference with support between the lines, then bring deliveries into the box. The reverse meeting showed both Montenegro's better shooting positions and Latvia's ability to remain involved after conceding.
Adzic and Montenegro's forwards created genuine chances in Riga, but the subsequent home game against Armenia showed how a crowded defence can reduce the quality of possession. Latvia already used Uldrikis and Gutkovskis in October; Ikaunieks is the distinct additional link, in the supporting role Nicolato describes.
Marusic is unavailable and Jovetic remains doubtful, with Haksabanovic reported to start as another Montenegro support option. Latvia's existing crossing supply and late response in Riga give them a way to participate beyond the opening phase. That's why I'm siding with Latvia to keep the margin close.
