HSV's direct release toward Moffi meets a Gladbach side that wants to win the ball and attack quickly. Gladbach's Mohya, Hack and Scally have offered several ways to reach the box after a recovery. The next restart matters as much as the first goal, because HSV's last response at Frankfurt was followed by another concession. In Venice, the first clean wide delivery and the ball after its clearance will shape a separate contest between active home supply and a changing away defence.
HSV can use Muheim and Grønbæk to find Moffi, as it did at Frankfurt. Gladbach's ball wins through Mohya and Hack, with Scally joining the far side, offer a second route after that first home attack. Remberg and Vieira remain out for HSV after missing Frankfurt; Gladbach have Batz in goal, while Honorat and Diks have only limited return prospects. Gladbach answered Stuttgart's early goal and kept creating, so I'm siding with Borussia Mönchengladbach to avoid a defeat.
Venezia have created box entries through Hainaut and Mazzocchi into Adams, including against Genoa and Inter. Udinese can answer through Davis's direct hold-up and Zaniolo's next touch, but their back line has allowed repeated chances across recent matches. Davis is doubtful after reduced minutes against Roma, Bayo and Gueye are unavailable, and Solet's full-match role after his return remains untested. Venezia's wide supply can reach Adams and another runner again after the first clearance. That's why I'm siding with Venezia to win.
