Milan's wider supply meets a Genoa block that has recently relied on important goalkeeping interventions. Genoa have their own quick routes from a regain into a forward or a runner on the opposite side. The first useful pass after possession changes should shape the chances.
Moreira's cross and restart deliveries have found Pulisic and Rabiot, while Modric's quick distribution has released Pulisic behind the defence. Genoa can answer through the kind of Messias delivery that found Osmajic at Lecce, or the far-side movement Ehizibue completed against Juventus. These are different ways into the two penalty areas.
Moreira, Pulisic and Modric are expected to start after limited European minutes. Milan's reported defensive absences change the cover behind them, while Maignan is expected back from his European suspension. Genoa's returning Havel and Venturino add squad options to an attack that already has demonstrated suppliers.
I expect Milan to have more possession and Genoa to attack quickly after recoveries. The first goal should give the trailing attack more reason to commit runners, with fresh Milan supply and Genoa's outlets keeping further chances in the picture. That's why I'm expecting goals in Genoa against Milan.
