Köln's quickest attacks begin before the opposing defence can settle. Leverkusen's possession brings García and Maza into positions to supply Schick, while also creating a contest over the cover behind the ball. Recoveries, rebounds and the next central runner should be decisive.
Krauß's regain released Maina to supply Said El Mala against Union, with Bülter also connecting the attack. That route fits Leverkusen's recent concessions after turnovers and failures to secure the next ball. Köln's threat comes from the speed of that connection rather than an expectation of long possession spells.
Köln remain without Skhiri and several central defensive and forward options. Ache's possible return is additional depth, while the existing attack carries the argument. Badé is reported available for Leverkusen, whose missing wide attackers narrow their alternatives around the retained García–Maza–Schick supply.
Köln have had a full preparation week, while much of Leverkusen's core carried substantial European minutes. I expect the hosts to press for immediate forward releases and keep making the visitors repeat their recovery runs. That's why I'm siding with Köln to finish level or ahead.
