Ipswich's first pass will meet Bournemouth's pressure close to its own half. Palace and Liverpool will test whether wide entries become a second clear finish after the opener. Genoa and Milan have a similar first-pass contest, with Genoa's pressing meeting Milan's changed defensive build-up. Across these matches, the next clean box contact matters more than recent scorelines.
Ipswich can use Palacios to reach Enciso or a wide runner, but Bournemouth's Christie and Adams have repeatedly turned a loose second pass into a chance for Evanilson, Kluivert or the far-side attacker. Lukic has trained but missed Ipswich's last three matches, while Bournemouth's current pressing links have worked without Scott. Ipswich's recent low-output matches give that pressure a concrete target, and Bournemouth have several observed finishers after a regain. That's why I'm siding with Bournemouth to win away.
Liverpool can pin Palace's wingbacks and find Isak through Gakpo or a far-side delivery. Palace can still release Pino or Kamada after Wharton's first pass; Mitchell's box return led to Kamada's recent equaliser, and Nketiah has a recent finish against Fulham. Mateta played in Europe but is suspended for this league match, while Sarr remains out, so the striker route is changed; Liverpool's Isak and Gakpo combined for a recent header, yet the team has repeatedly surrendered a lead before adding a secure second finish. That's why I'm siding with Palace to keep the game close.
Genoa can press Milan's altered first pass and send Messias or El Shaarawy toward Osmajic, a route that produced goals at Lecce. Milan can answer through Modric's release to Moreira and Pulisic or Rabiot, with Maignan back behind them. Tomori and Gabbia missed Milan's recent games, Pavlovic missed Europe and is reported out, while Genoa's returning squad names have yet to play recent first-team minutes. Genoa's longer preparation and its observed first and second passes give it a path to a close contest even against Milan's strong wide supply. That's why I'm siding with Genoa to stay close.
