Brighton can start attacks high through their press and create another chance from a restart. Brentford can bypass that first pressure with a direct ball to Thiago and send a runner into the space behind a wide defender. The strength of the home press late in the match will shape the next receiving chance.
Thiago's knockdown can reach Janelt or Yarmoliuk, then Schade, Ouattara or Anthony can carry the next ball. Brighton have Groß's supply and several ways to attack the second ball, but their short turnaround after Getafe tests how long those regains continue. Mitoma remains out and Kadioglu needs a late fitness check after missing the last two matches; Brentford's club says Yarmoliuk's suspension has ended, while Damsgaard played off the bench against Forest.
Brentford's direct first outlet and later wide options give them a route to respond even if Brighton score first. I'm siding with Brentford to avoid defeat.
