Armenia should have early territory, but Cyprus have several routes from a turnover to a second box entry. Spain should carry more of the ball against Czechia, where the number of clean finishes matters more than possession. Belarus can also control long spells against San Marino, yet the previous score hid a much narrower gap in chances. Each match turns on what follows the first dangerous contact.
Armenia can use Iwu and Tiknizyan to move wide and seek Ranos or Miranyan, but its last meeting with Cyprus brought little clean finishing even while Spertsyan played. Spertsyan and Simonyan are outside the current squad, and the coach is preparing a younger group. Cyprus retain Edwards, Kastanos, Malekkidis and Pittas from the Latvia game; Malekkidis has already filled the wide role after Pileas's absence. Their connected first pass and follow-up delivery give Cyprus the stronger route to a win, so I'm siding with Cyprus.
Spain's Zubimendi and wide receivers can hold Czechia deep, with Fermín or Merino arriving for a cutback or loose ball. Czechia's Krejčí-led block can force another pass, and its recent matches showed little repeated box access of its own. Spain's earlier finishers Yamal and Rodri and creator Olmo are absent from the current squad, changing the final touch even as Spain keep creating entries. I'm siding with a match whose attacks produce fewer goals than the previous meeting's score suggests.
Belarus can feed Pechenin on the left and seek Kontsevoy or Ebong after the first clearance. San Marino have a route back through Capicchioni, Lazzari and Nanni, who is in the current squad; Lazzari supplied a recent late equaliser. Belarus's previous four-goal win came from unusually sharp finishing of a modest chance gap, and Shumansky, who scored and supplied, is suspended. That's why I'm siding with San Marino to keep the contest close.
