Finland can hold possession, but its recent spells on the ball have produced few accurate shots. Albania can attack the box through Manaj or use Asllani's delivery at a restart. Their earlier meeting changed after Albania lost a player, so its final score gives only a partial picture of how the sides meet at full strength. The first clean shot and the next box arrival should decide the contest.
Asllani's corner found Manaj early in the first meeting, and Albania still made box entries after the sending-off. Finland won through Walta's direct free kicks, while its later possession against Belarus rarely reached an unblocked finish. Antman and Skyttä add possible receiving routes, but Finland's defence must now replace Miettinen, who played its last match and is absent from the current senior squad.
Albania can let Finland circulate, end the first cross, and then reach Manaj or a wide runner with a quicker ball. A home restart gives Asllani another direct way to put a finisher near goal. That's why I'm siding with Albania to win this match.
